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IN People ON 29 Dec, 2015
With the presidential elections fast approaching this year in 2016, the entire nation of the United States, and even the witnessing world, has become audience to another fierce battle for victory in the upcoming elections. And although the elections are many days far away, it has become quite apparent that an interesting story is taking shape.
Here are ten weird facts related to the presidential elections that you should know!
Trump's recent rise to power in the political world might just be the subject of many's nightmares, not because of his rise, but because of his unfailing popularity. His reputation has been built by his controversial stands, and typically, his popularity should have fallen after a short-lived rise. And yet, he continues to be highly popular amongst many. You might think Trump is not doing very well, but the difference in polls in favor of Trump in an online, anonymous poll, and a live interview is truly alarming: In the live interview, the percentage on his side was 32%, but the same jumped to 38% in the anonymous poll conducted online!
Trump's rise in popularity is mainly due to the huge media coverage he is getting, and this can be clearly inferred from the high correlation between his media coverage and poll results. So as long as he's getting network coverage like this story itself, his popularity is bound to continue growing!
One fact of elections is that publicity helps a ton. And given the effect the amount of media coverage can have on the voting audience, the unevenly more airtime given to Trump due to his attention-seeking attitude is helping him more than one would anticipate!
One of the biggest woes associated with elections is the entry and role of the big-money groups. It has often been seen in past elections that money does end up playing a large role in deciding the popularity of candidates. But the case looks quite different this time. From what appears, money doesn't seem to be playing a big role in this election. Instead, it is the free media publicity which seems to be playing the deciding role this time!
It's a known fact that politicians lie. But what is to be noted is that not everyone lies as much as the others. The rate of making false statements, and the amount of absurdity made in their statements have been studies by a website, PolitiFact, and it's findings have led to the conclusion that Trump does not lie as much as the others. That could probably work in his favour, couldn't it?
You might think that the Democrats are doing fairly well, but you'd know you're wrong once you start scratching the surface. The Democrats currently control only 10 states. The only time they dipped this low was in 1996. Even then, they still held another seven or so state legislatures, something they aren't currently doing. They're also falling apart in the House. Democratic control of the House hasn't dropped this low since the Truman years in 1947–49. So they probably aren't in as good shape as they might persuade you to think.
Trump has been doing very well, contrary to what one would have thought, given his conduct. But this early in the game, it's too soon to tell if Trump's going to stick around for long. He's been pouring resources tactically, but how much and for how long it can help, only time can tell.
The once front-runner in the Republican race, Jeb Bush, may not seem like much of a factor in the upcoming elections, given his current poll results, but you better not bet on it yet! As it seems, Bush and his companions have been channelling all their power and resources towards New Hampshire, and this could give them a strategic advantage there over Trump and the others. If everything pans out as they plan and hope, Bush could actually become a factor in the elections, and the fight could get further intense.
It may not have happened in the last 70 years, but that does not rule out the possibility completely yet! Given the current state of support of candidates, it doesn't seem very unlikely that a brokered candidate would be chosen.
It's not to be forgotten that with every day till the elections, circumstances and situations are subject to change. And it depends not only on factors inside the state, but also on events in foreign countries. There are several factors in play, and only time can tell how things finally pan out!